Land Ahoy!

The HomeBuilder package has helped generate a lot more buyer inquiry for vacant land and new house/land packages.

The month of June was said to be hectic.  It is likely that the interest will remain high for the rest of calendar 2020 as well.

What is yet to be seen is if the inquiry and associated holding deposits turn into contracts.

I suspect that there will be a high fallout rate as lenders look hard to each borrower’s employment status, future earning capacity, lifestyle spending and debt profile.

That said, this week is the first post of a south east Queensland land market trilogy.

My last three part series on jobs was quite popular.  So here we go again.

Two tables this week.

Table 1 looks at the suburban distribution of new land development across SEQ and table 2 looks at suburban vacant land and house/land prices and sales.

Table 1: Major SEQ municipalities: Urban allotment development distribution

Municipality + suburb Total lot registrations* Market share
Municipality SEQld
Sunshine Coast
Caloundra West 699 47% 6%
Landsborough 285 19% 3%
Nambour 139 9% 1%
Total 1,123 75% 10%
Moreton Bay
Scarborough-Newport 364 17% 3%
Murrumba Downs-Griffin 231 11% 2%
North Lakes-Mango Hill 208 10% 2%
Caboolture South 162 8% 1%
Rothwell-Kippa Ring 118 6% 1%
Morayfield East 116 6% 1%
Bribie Island 101 5% 1%
Burpengary 100 5% 1%
Total 1,400 67% 13%
Brisbane
Pallara-Willawong 473 19% 4%
Rochedale-Burbank 202 8% 2%
Upper Kedron-Ferny Grove 140 6% 1%
Forest Lake-Doolandella 126 5% 1%
Wynnum West-Hemmant 125 5% 1%
Total 1,066 43% 10%
Redland
Thornlands 235 55% 2%
Logan
Boronia Heights-Park Ridge 827 42% 8%
Wolffdene-Bahrs Scrub 346 17% 3%
Chambers Flat-Logan Reserve 224 11% 2%
Edens Landing-Holmview 154 8% 1%
Total 1,551 78% 14%
Ipswich
Ripley 543 40% 5%
Collingwood Park-Redbank 176 13% 2%
Redbank Plains 164 12% 1%
Bellbird Park-Brookwater 125 9% 1%
Springfield 109 8% 1%
Total 1,117 83% 10%
Gold Coast
Pimpama 422 35% 4%
Coomera 299 25% 3%
Ormeau-Yatala 139 12% 1%
Oxenford-Maudsland 104 9% 1%
Total 964 81% 9%
Total SEQld 7,456 68%
Matusik + Queensland Government.  * Urban residential allotment registrations between 60m2 to <2,500m2 on a standard format plan intended for detached dwellings.  Year ending March 2020.

Table 2: Major SEQ municipalities: House + land package & vacant land sales

Municipality + suburb House + land package sales Vacant land sales
No $ No $ $/m2
Sunshine Coast
Caloundra West 103 $585,500 253 $247,750 $691
Landsborough 12 $465,000 201 $269,500 $732
Nambour 20 $499,000 122 $250,000 $381
Moreton Bay
Scarborough-Newport 28 $615,500 155 $334,000 $897
Murrumba Downs-Griffin 22 $539,000 167 $285,000 $732
North Lakes-Mango Hill 31 $525,000 160 $292,500 $760
Caboolture South 11 $320,000 74 $204,000 $428
Rothwell-Kippa Ring 8 n.a. 34 $231,000 $769
Morayfield East 7 n.a. 168 $185,000 $485
Bribie Island 5 n.a. 125 $336,000 $575
Burpengary 15 $451,400 83 $239,500 $628
Brisbane
Pallara-Willawong 65 $570,000 241 $305,000 $775
Rochedale-Burbank 25 $1,058,000 234 $470,000 $1,145
Upper Kedron-Ferny Grove 6 n.a. 63 $410,000 $874
Forest Lake-Doolandella 8 n.a. 83 $270,000 $794
Wynnum West-Hemmant 4 n.a. 54 $399,000 $886
Redland
Thornlands 10 $525,000 107 $320,000 $744
Logan
Boronia Heights-Park Ridge 92 $453,500 325 $232,500 $544
Wolffdene-Bahrs Scrub 17 $471,750 210 $221,000 $541
Chambers Flat-Logan Reserve 28 $450,000 180 $215,000 $546
Edens Landing-Holmview 10 $462,500 79 $229,000 $558
Ipswich
Ripley 80 $420,000 340 $205,500 $525
Collingwood Park-Redbank 8 n.a. 132 $188,000 $398
Redbank Plains 12 $367,500 31 $192,000 $456
Bellbird Park-Brookwater 14 $489,000 129 $245,000 $593
Springfield 1 n.a. 17 $275,750 $655
Gold Coast
Pimpama 71 $513,000 341 $271,000 $640
Coomera 12 $610,000 246 $285,000 $678
Ormeau-Yatala 4 n.a. 113 $255,000 $606
Oxenford-Maudsland 6 n.a. 91 $297,500 $450
Matusik, Price Finder + Queensland Government.  Matusik estimates.  A new house and land package are defined as a detached house dwelling on a newly registered block of land between 140m2 and 2,500m2.  Vacant urban land sold between 140m2 and 2,500m2.  Year ending March 2020.

Matusik, Price Finder + Queensland Government.  Matusik estimates.  A new house and land package are defined as a detached house dwelling on a newly registered block of land between 140m2 and 2,500m2.  Vacant urban land sold between 140m2 and 2,500m2.  Year ending March 2020.

Comments

Table 1 tells me: that just under 70% of the new urban allotment registrations across SEQ are held in just 30 suburbs (SLA2 ABS definitions).  There are some 320 such SLA2 areas across SEQ.

These suburbs also dominate land development within their respective municipal areas.  That market share ranges from 43% in Brisbane to 83% in Ipswich.

New land subdivision activity across SEQ is now limited to a few development corridors.

Table 2 shows: that there is a wide range of price points across the SEQ land market with the most expensive land on a $/m2 basis selling in Rochedale in Brisbane.

Yet vacant land can still be bought for under $500/m2 in several outer SEQ suburbs including Nambour, Caboolture West, Morayfield East, Collingwood-Redbank, Redbank Plains and Bellbird Park.

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